Nick Foles had a QB rating of 112 yesterday and that actually lowered his QB rating for the season. Think about that for a second. Foles was up at 128. He’s now all the way down at 125.2.
We keep waiting for something to change. But it hasn’t.
On Sunday Foles faced a defense that was Top 10 in yards, points and opposing passer rating. Football Outsiders had the Cardinals defense 2nd in DVOA. The Cards had a takeaway in all 11 games this year. This was a good defense.
Foles shredded the Cardinals for almost 3 quarters. He threw 3 TD passes and made it look easy at times. The Eagles had 24 points early in the 3rd quarter. To put that in perspective, the Cardinals had given up 25 points in the previous 8 quarters combined.
People are really starting to believe.
Peter King did an interview with Foles and made him the headline at MMQB. About the non-INT…
“Man, horrible throw, horrible decision,” Foles said from Philadelphia an hour after the game. “When I saw the flag and heard the call, I said, ‘Thank you God.’ I learned my lesson there. But that’s what I try to do: I build a database with decisions like that, and I learn from them. If I get that same look the next time, I’ll make a different throw, or I’ll throw it away. The good thing about it is, Coach has confidence in my decision-making.”
Those are beautiful words to my ears. Nick got lucky and he knows it. Learn from the mistake. Don’t repeat it.
Vince Verhei: This was the first time I paid any real attention to Nick Foles on his hot streak. And for three quarters, he looked just as good as his ridiculous numbers. It seemed like he never made a bad decision or throw. It’s not just that he wasn’t throwing interceptions, he wasn’t throwing anything that even had a reasonable chance of being intercepted. The fourth quarter was another story. He threw his first interception of the season, right to Patrick Peterson, but it was wiped out by a penalty. He threw another two or three balls that could have been picked but were broken up by his receivers, and had another pass tipped at the line and up into the air. I don’t know if Arizona was doing anything different on defense at the end of the game, but Foles looked like a different guy.
That’s fair criticism.
And here are some interesting thoughts from Sigmund Bloom, a football writer and analyst. He had a good discussion on Twitter with some other football guys. None of them are Eagles fans so that’s what makes this so interesting.
thats where foles is hitting imo. has mindmeld w chip flow chart of options for QB on any given play
he’s making correct read and executing. very little improv, just taking plays from chalkboard to field
plays set up matchups they think they can win (TEs today) and foles executes
i think chip has the effect of turning calculus into addition/subtraction.
None of us has any idea what to truly make of 19 TDs and no INTs. This is mind-blowing stuff for such a young QB. How much of this is Chip Kelly’s offense? How much is luck? How much is circumstances? These are all fair questions.
Kelly’s system is pretty darn good. Michael Vick posted big numbers in the first 2 games. He had QB ratings of 112.6 and 123.4. The difference between him and Foles is that Mike couldn’t stay healthy. He got hurt late in the SD game or early vs the Chiefs and his play dipped. Vick also posted those numbers against 2 of the worst defenses in the league.
Foles played the Bucs, Raiders and Cardinals when those teams were rated highly. Foles threw 13 TD passes in those games and the Eagles won all 3. You can no longer use the “who did he play” question with Foles. He’s done well against against a variety of teams and schemes.
Defenses have seen the Eagles and Foles now long enough to know what’s coming. This is no longer teams studying Oregon tape to prepare. They know what the Eagles do. They know what Foles can do. This isn’t voodoo. This isn’t luck.
I get that some of you still have doubts about Foles. That’s fine. Just don’t be unreasonable as you judge him. This is enough of a sample size that you can’t dismiss it to just being a couple of good games or anything like that.
Deion Sanders brought up the question on the NFL Network of whether Foles should be in MVP consideration if he continues to play like this. And Michael Irvin praised him left and right. Those guys are huge Vick fans, but they can see that Foles is the better player right now.
Foles is playing at a consistent level. He’s making smart decisions and accurate throws. That is QB 101. The fact he isn’t making highlight throws and great runs should be encouraging to you. Those things are tough to sustain. Being smart and accurate? That can last for a decade.
Foles is the QB of the present and every week he looks more like the QB of the future as well. Jeff McLane posted a quote from Kelly on WIP this morning.
Chip Kelly gave Nick Foles the closest thing to a long-term endorsement when he was asked by Angelo Cataldi during his regularly-scheduled Monday appearance on 94-WIP if the second-year player had the makings to be the Eagles’ quarterback of the future.
“Yeah, you hope so,” Kelly said. “And I don’t mean to be coy. I always say this … you can say that whomever is your player of the future and then the next week they get hurt. I hope that Nick’s here for a long time. I’m a big supporter of him. I think he does a fantastic job. But we also know that injuries occur in this game and that’s why I always qualify what I say. But I love the kid and I think he’s playing outstanding.”
I think the ultimate compliment I can pay to Foles is that I now expect him to play well. There used to be hoping and wishing. Now there are expectations.